Tuesday 31 July 2018

EUR/USD - Euro trading upside at over 1.1700 as inflation, GDP are set to affirm ECB’s view

The Euro is exchanging minimal changed on the upside at over 1.1700 against the US Dollar (forex picks) in front of the arrangement of expansion and GDP figures due for the Eurozone later on Tuesday. Swelling is relied upon to abide at 2.0% y/y in July while at the same time GDP is set to rise 0.4% Q/Q in the second quarter this year. In the interim, German retail deals climbed somewhat more than anticipated by 1.2% m/m in June while at the same time quickening to 3.0% y/y.


EUR/USD
EUR/USD


Technical Talk-Points

From a specialized viewpoint, the combine has now drawn back nearer to a transient slipping pattern line opposition, reaching out from mid-May. A persuading move past the said obstacle would invalidate any close term negative inclination and trigger a short-covering bob towards month to month highs, around the 1.1790 district. A finish purchasing can possibly keep lifting the match assist towards the 1.1840-50 overwhelming supply zone. 

On the other side, the 1.1640 level zone currently appears to go about as a prompt solid help, which if broken may turn the match powerless against break beneath the 1.1600 handle and point towards testing a critical help close to the 1.1540-35 district in transit the key 1.1500 mental check.

The Euro (forex signal) is merging in the wake of dropping down to a 2018 low around 1.1500. Be that as it may, the shortcoming down to 1.1500 is still seen as a remedy inside a more significant medium-term uptrend, with that next higher low searched out around 1.1500 for a bullish continuation. 

Fundamental Talk-Points

The EUR/USD (forex picks) combine crawled higher toward the beginning of another exchanging week, inside a commonplace exchanging range, and moved back over the 1.1700 handle. A milder tone encompassing the US Dollar, which helped balance marginally weaker than anticipated German glimmer CPI print, was viewed as one of the key components driving the combine higher. Notwithstanding an unassuming uptick, the more extensive pattern stayed indistinct as dealers kept away from putting down forceful wagers in front of a not insignificant rundown of heavyweight financial discharges/occasions, including the most recent FOMC fiscal strategy refresh and the distinctly watched US month to month occupations report. 

The positive energy reached out through the Asian session on Tuesday as the concentration presently moves to a bustling Euro-zone financial docket, featuring the arrival of blaze Euro-zone shopper expansion figures and prelim Q2 GDP development figures. Later amid the early North-American session, the arrival of individual wage/spending information, center PCE value list - the Fed's most loved expansion measure, trailed by Chicago PMI and Conference Board's customer certainty record may give the expected energy to at long last help the match to leap forward a multi-week exchanging range.


Trading Tips
Trading Tips

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Friday 20 July 2018

Gold battles to enroll any significant recuperation

Gold turned around an early plunge to $1215 region (gold tips), more like one-year lows set medium-term, and is presently set at the best end of Friday's Asian session exchanging range. 

The US President Donald Trump's medium-term remarks, communicating disappointment about the Fed's money related fixing, set off a wide-based US Dollar auction and helped ease bearish weight encompassing the dollar-designated ware. This combined with a sharp fall in the US Treasury security yields stretched out some extra help to the non-yielding yellow metal. 

Gold
Gold battles to enroll any significant recuperation


In spite of a mix of supporting variables, the valuable metal neglected to profit by the recuperation force and was being topped by the common hazard on temperament. A positive exchanging assumption around Asian value markets weighed on the valuable metal's place of refuge advance and applied some new descending weight amid early exchanging hours on Friday. 

Then, as per the Comex tips, brokers kept away from putting down any crisp bearish wagers in the midst of very close term oversold conditions, which presently appears to have provoked some short-covering in the midst of a curbed opening crosswise over European bourses and weaker USD value activity. 

Technical Talk-points

Any significant up-move may keep on confronting new supply close to the $1229-30 district, above which the product could recuperate facilitate towards a past help, now turned opposition, close to the $1237-38 zone. 

Trading tips
Trading tips


On the other side, $1215 level, nearly took after by $1212-11 territory, now appears to ensure the quick drawback, which if cushioned could quicken the fall towards $1204 level on the way the $1200 handle.

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Wednesday 18 July 2018

Crude Oil Forecast and Technical Analysis

The drop in Crude lines up with the instability seen after new highs are hit. In the course of the most recent a year, another high has a tendency to be trailed by a 5-10% drop. Dealers should look to the DoE week after week stock print tomorrow to see the front-month crude oil (Comex signals) contract discovers bolster, which would almost certainly line up with short-covering from shorter-term brokers who effectively foreseen instability after the new YtD high at $74.08/bbl.

The capability of a SPR discharge by the US and possibly gentler position on Iranian fares have reduced the supply stun fears that were already found in prospects date-book spreads. All things considered, backwardation remains, however, has debilitated when taking a gander at the December18-December 19 contract. Brent backwardation is at the most reduced since February 13. 




Crude Oil Forecast and Technical Analysis
Crude Oil Forecast and Technical Analysis



WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis Strategy - Crude oil picks has withdrawn typically toward the 200-DMA subsequent to exchanging at new highs as of late. Since September, the cost of WTI has held over the 200-DMA regardless of features unpredictability. Another hold of this key help point would support slant continuation.


Key technical levels for WTI crude oil-

Resistance level - $70.87– 61.8% retracement of July extend

Spot - $67.18/bbl

Support - $63.41– June low going before June 18-July 3 breakout to new 3yr highs


Are Supply Pressures Set To Ease Materially?

In the wake of saying OPEC had been falsely keeping Oil costs high, news broke a week ago that the Trump organization may remove a portion of the weight from the physical oil showcase by conceivably taking advantage of the US' crisis saves. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve or SPR is getting consideration in front of battling for the November races as gas costs have risen about 30% YoY. JP Morgan has turned out with a view that the spread between September and October will keep on tightening on a potential SPR discharge, which would apparently keep the weight on the cost of oil. 




Trading tips
Trading tips

Notwithstanding the specify of diminishing supply weight through the SPR, there has been a talk of facilitating up on the planning of Iranian endorses that would decrease the dread of a negative supply stun. Regardless of the potential facilitating, comex tip is oil showcase instability as estimated by the CBOE/NYMEX pushed toward the most abnormal amounts in multi year. On the off chance that help at $63.41 does not break, it could demonstrate that a victory of dread into help.


Summing Up- 

For the present, brokers should take a gander at the 200-DMA at $64.61 and the June low at $63.41 as key help. A failure of cost to break beneath this zone joined with a pullback in the CBOE/NYMEX instability file could mean the example is playing out once more, and that a moderate push toward new multi year highs is in progress that could target $77/bbl. 


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Friday 13 July 2018

EUR/USD - Euro down to mid 1.1600, breaking Ichimoku cloud

The Euro is exchanging 0.4% lower on the last exchanging day of this current week breaking beneath Ichimoku cloud at mid 1.1600 region as the European large-scale schedule is powerless and the Michigan shopper slant and the Federal Reserve's money related approach report feature the North American session. 


EUR/USD
EUR/USD - Euro down to mid 1.1600, breaking Ichimoku cloud


Technical Talk-Points

The EUR/USD exchanged inside a downtrend direct in a previous couple of days and is currently moving underneath downtrend bolster (thick dark line on the graph). Drawback energy on the 4-hour outline is hearty, and the Relative Strength Index is beneath 50 yet at the same time over 30 - above oversold domain. 

The match additionally dipped under the 50 and 200 Simple Moving Averages. Every specialized marker is pointing down. 

The following line of help is 1.1590 which held the match right off the bat in July. 1.1540 was a pad to the match on a few events in June. 1.1508 is the 2018 trough. Indeed, even lower, 1.1480 topped the EUR/USD (FOREX picks) in July 2017. 

Looking into, 1.1665 was a venturing stone for the match on its way as the week progressed. 1.1690 was a low point on July tenth and filled in as an obstruction in advance. 1.1720 topped the match twice and stays fundamental. 1.1795 was the crest on July ninth. 

Fundamental Talk-Points

The EUR/USD (FOREX Signal) is exchanging nearer to 1.1600 than 1.1700 on Friday the thirteenth, bring down on the day yet at the same time inside surely understood reaches. The US Dollar broadens its increases and for good reasons. 

Central bank Chair Jerome Powell gave a meeting on Thursday in which he said that he "rests soundly around evening time," communicating certainty about the economy. While he said there is a rising worry about exchange among business contacts, the general tone was bullish on the economy. Another Fed part, Patrick Harker, opened the way to supporting a sum of four rate climbs in 2018 after already backing just three. 



Trading tips


The Fed may have better motivations to raise rates as swelling is getting. Center CPI quickened to 2.3% in June, of course, yet at the same time demonstrating that additionally, the Fed's second command is at the objective. Today, the main marker is the University of Michigan's Preliminary Consumer Sentiment measure for July. 

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Wednesday 11 July 2018

Gold prices down due to Retail Positioning

More extensive standpoint at gold (gold tips) costs remain tilt to the drawback as the valuable metal broadens the bearish pattern from prior this year, and the ongoing bounce back seems to slow down at a close term rotate as the valuable metal rapidly falls once more from the July-high ($1266).

A glance at the month to month opening extent recommends a close term top is set up in the midst of the fizzled endeavours to close over the $1260 (23.6% development) obstacle, and gold costs (Comex tips)  may keep on consolidating throughout the days ahead as merchant supposition sits at an extraordinary.


Gold prices down due to Retail Positioning
Gold prices down due to Retail Positioning


The IG Client Sentiment Report indicates 88.2% of investors are as yet net-long gold, with the ratio of dealers long to short at 7.45 to 1. The quantity of dealers net-long is 3.4% lower than yesterday and 2.4% higher from a week ago, while the quantity of merchants net-short is 5.2% lower than yesterday and 6.8% lower from a week ago.

The refresh strengthens a bearish standpoint for gold as retail intrigue remains vigorously skewed, with late value activity controlling the danger for a bigger recuperation as both cost and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) safeguard the bearish developments from prior this year (commodity picks).

GOLD DAILY CHART



Source - Daily FX 


Gold costs may confront go bound conditions following the fizzled endeavours to close over the $1260 (23.6% development) jump, with the lower limits coming in around $1246 (23.6% extension) to $1249 (38.2% retracement).

Be that as it may, a break/close beneath the expressed district brings the drawback focuses back on the radar, with gold in danger of organizing a more significant keep running at the December-low ($1236).

Next region comes in around $1210 (half retracement) to $1219 (61.8% retracement) trailed by the $1198 (38.2% extension) area.



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Saturday 7 July 2018

Should Investors buy ISEC Healthcare?

SINGAPORE - International Specialist Eye Centre (ISEC) is listed in SGX in 2014. The company is at Centrepoint South Mid Valley Kuala Lumpur, Penang Jalan Burma and Lee Hung Ming Eye Centre are centers of excellence in ophthalmology, specifically in clinical care, teaching and research.

The group gives expert therapeutic ophthalmology benefits through its system of four eye focuses in Malaysia, and one in Singapore's Gleneagles Hospital. In 2016, the company extended its administrations to incorporate general restorative administrations through the obtaining of JLM Companies, which contains four facilities in the heartlands of Singapore. 

Notwithstanding its relative youth under people in general eye, ISEC has built a good reputation of both best line and primary concern development, while keeping up a good balance sheet.

ISEC Healthcare
Should Investors buy ISEC Healthcare?


Rapid growth of revenue

Since its posting in 2014, ISEC Healthcare's income has expanded by an aggravated yearly rate of 13.9% from S$22.0 million to S$38.1 million. In the meantime, the gathering likewise figured out how to help its profit per share from 0.74 Singapore pennies in 2014 to 1.3 Singapore pennies in 2017. 

The solid development in the two its best line and primary concern was because of a bigger number of patient visits at its current eye focuses. This equity pick is additionally profited by new income commitments from a Malaysian eye focus obtaining, and the previously mentioned general solution facilities. 

The securing of the general prescription facilities adds to the organization's benefits as well as gives another wellspring of patients, and referrals for its eye centers.

Healthy cash position 

As specified before, ISEC human services have a tough asset report. The organization has zero obligation on its books and S$27 million in real money. Over that, the organization produces reliably solid income from its tasks. So this could be a good stock investment

Truth be told, its income from tasks have developed at a huge rate of 35% exacerbated, per annum, from just S$2.5 million of every 2014 to S$8.3 million out of 2017. 

Thusly, the gathering is in a decent cash position to seek after extra acquisitions and to pay out profits to shareholders. The organization's reputation for acquisitions additionally demonstrates that the administration isn't hesitant to put resources into growing.

Cheap share price

Shares of ISEC Healthcare Ltd. traded hands at S$0.29 per share. This stock recommendation makes an interpretation of to a price-to-earning proportion of 2.23, an annualized price-to-earnings of 17.7 and a trailing profit yield of 4.1%. 

The way things are, ISEC Healthcare's valuation is less expensive contrasted with other medicinal services organizations, for example, TalkMed Group and Singapore O&G which have a price-to-income proportion of 27 and 18.8 separately. The organization's 4.1% profit yield likewise positions as the third most noteworthy yielding social insurance stock right now.





Final Thought-

ISEC Healthcare has demonstrated some possibility to be a decent speculation and decent stock investment. Other than solid patient development in its current clinics, the company likewise the money related muscle to make acquisitions to extend its system and enhance its item advertising. Likewise, the administration has additionally flagged its expectations to expand its local impression to nations, for example, Vietnam and China. These activities could give assist development impetuses to the company. 

Similarly as vitally, offers of the organization as of now exchange at sensible valuations. Everything considered ISEC Healthcare is unquestionably an upfront investment in my books. 

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Tuesday 3 July 2018

Major Growth Drivers of IHH Healthcare Berhad

SINGAPORE - IHH Healthcare Berhad is a main worldwide supplier of premium incorporated medicinal services administrations working in the home markets of Malaysia, Singapore, Turkey, and India. The Group contains premium-mark medicinal services resources, by and large speaking to a novel multi-market investment position in the human services division. Their "Mount Elizabeth", "Gleneagles", "Pantai", "Parkway" and "Acibadem" brands are among the most renowned in Asia and Central and Eastern Europe.

IHH Healthcare Berhad is the largest healthcare stock listed in Singapore stock market. The group is having a market capitalization of S$16.6 billion. The group runs 49 hospitals across the 9 countries.

The group's performance seems dramatic in its latest quarter.

The company's revenue and EBITDA (earnings before interest tax depreciation and amortization) were elevated from a year prior, profiting from the commitment of two recently opened hospitals, and organic growth from its existing hospitals.

Then again, the company’s net profit (after tax) for the quarter tumbled 40% after excluding one-off gains seen last year. Getting teeth issues, combined with higher operating, and devaluation cost were the primary offenders behind the decrease. 


IHH Healthcare Berhad
IHH Healthcare Berhad 

In any case, notwithstanding the lower main concern figures, there are still motivations to be idealistic for the company. There are growth drivers that can enhance the organization's edges and benefit later on. Let's talk about the growth drivers of IHH Healthcare Berhad - 

Organic Growth of the Company

IHH Healthcare's arrangement of healthcare facilities is additionally creating more income after some time. In its latest quarter, normal income per inpatient admission developed at the greater part of its hospitals. 

Over that, inpatient volume additionally expanded in all geographies aside from Malaysia. As the population ages and middle-class population grows, healthcare expenditure anticipated that would increment throughout the following couple of years. The patterns could give a tailwind to the organization's natural development for a long time to come.

Contribution from new hospitals 

IHH Healthcare has a tremendous a system of hospitals, medical centers, and facilities, however, it has no aim to lay on its shrubs. The organization is forcefully re-investing its income into new activities, which incorporate the extension of its current hospitals and the advancement of new hospitals. 

As said before, the group opened two new hospitals in March 2017, to be specific Gleneagles Hong Kong and Acibadem Altunizade in Turkey. The previous speaks to its first raid into China. The entire year income commitment from the two hospitals will happen this year. 

As the two hospitals develop, their commitment to the primary concern ought to be more noticeable as the hospitals pick up footing, and the underlying coincidental working costs blur away.

More projects 

IHH Healthcare has likewise started a couple of more projects that are expected for the consummation by 2019. 

The stage 2 development of Pantai Hospital in Kuala Lumpur and the extension of Acibadem Maslak in Turkey will build the bed limit of the hospitals by 120 beds and 195 beds, separately. Over that, the 350-bed Gleneagles Chengdu is slated to be opened for the current year. Gleneagles Shanghai, which has a 450-bed limit, is likewise anticipated that would be finished in 2019. 

These four projects, particularly the two new hospital openings in China, is probably going to drive income development. 

There may be introductory getting teeth issues, and high start-up costs, however, the long haul affect from these openings will probably be sure for the company's primary concern.






Final thought-

As the opening of company's new hospitals, there will undoubtedly be here and now getting teeth issues that will eat into edges. Subsequently, the lower benefit we find in IHH's ongoing profit refresh. 

IHH Healthcare has solid income from its activities and a sound asset report that should see it through any close term start-up challenges as it grows its impression in China. All things considered that once the new hospitals are completely up and running, the group will probably observe solid edges return together with solid primary concern development.

So investors should look out on the long-term performance of the company for the stock investment.